Why AI Isn't Coming for Our Jobs, and What Students Need Instead
By Chris Clay
Kia ora,
The AI hype factory is still in full swing, and the panic is hitting rangatahi hard. On recent visits to North Island schools, I’ve been hearing the same anxious question again and again:
“Are robots really about to wipe out half the careers we might choose?”
This newsletter unpacks that fear and brings in a trusted voice to help us think more clearly about it.
What the real experts actually say
In a recent interview from Boston’s MIT, Nobel laureate Daron Acemoglu shares that AI is on track to automate just 5% of tasks this decade. That’s more of a ripple than a tsunami.
While AI is brilliant at highly structured tasks (think spreadsheets or scheduling), most real-world jobs rely on tacit knowledge, the things we know but rarely write down: cues, context, judgement. If we can’t spell out every micro-step, it’s unlikely we can code a machine to do it. This is why many jobs are likely to remain human-led for some time yet.
Why are we hearing so many scary predictions?
Some of the loudest voices, often tech CEOs or investors, have incentives to exaggerate change. Claims like “AI will wipe out half of all entry-level white-collar jobs” are great for raising money or drawing attention, but not great for teenagers thinking about their future.
And yet those bold predictions do shape behaviour. Acting out of fear, students can abandon dream pathways for so-called “safe” options, which may turn out to be neither safe nor satisfying. We owe them better than fear-based choices.
How to help students think beyond the headlines
One reason we focus on futures thinking is to help students understand that the future isn’t something we can predict with any real certainty, but we can explore many possibilities.
Right now, algorithms favour the most extreme predictions, pushing them into students’ feeds while crowding out thoughtful voices like Acemoglu’s. That makes it even harder for them to imagine alternatives.
By comparing multiple future scenarios, from the optimistic to the challenging, students begin to develop adaptability rather than anxiety. They learn to question sources, spot vested interests, and think critically about change.
That’s how uncertainty becomes something to work with, not hide from.
Bring this conversation to your school
We’re now offering “Preparing for Possibility” sessions tailored for:
- Students: Interactive workshops that explode the myth of a single destined future and introduce practical ways to explore new and emerging fields and create plans that are resilient and open to change.
- Parents and whānau: Engaging presentations that bring parents and the wider community into contemporary career planning conversations and help guide teens in uncertain times.
- Staff: Schools keep asking for PLD options and we are happy to discuss what you might need. Futures thinking goes across the curriculum, just like careers education.
It’s still not too late to help some of those nervous seniors think differently about possibility.
Infinite Careers www.infinite.careers admin@education-unleashed.com
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